Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Current price
15.5¢
Implied probability 15.5%
$10.1K total volume · YES/NO
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the outcome depends on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, using official governing body statistics with defined backup data sources. However, participants should be aware of an unusual exceptional clause: if the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes (draw) rather than voiding or resolving to No. Additionally, if the match is postponed, the market will stay open indefinitely until it is played, and if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the game's conclusion, it resolves 50-50.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- High
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the scheduled soccer match between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid CF ends in a draw within regular play plus stoppage time, or if the match is canceled entirely.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a draw within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market also resolves to Yes if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. It resolves to No if either team wins within regular play and stoppage time. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the match's conclusion. The primary resolution source is official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. If unavailable within 2 hours of completion, fallback sources are Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting. Later revisions to official scores are disregarded.
Key dates
- Match date: — The date the game is scheduled to take place.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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