Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Current price
76.5¢
Implied probability 76.5%
$77.1K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or his administration announces a permanent replacement for Press Secretary Katie Zacharia before the December 31, 2026 deadline. The rules explicitly exclude anyone appointed solely in an acting or interim capacity, and they specify that the date of the announcement governs regardless of when the individual officially begins service. While resolution relies on official administration statements, it allows a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source, introducing minor discretion if communication channels report conflicting details.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump or his administration announces a new permanent White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Announcements for an acting or interim Press Secretary do not count. The announcement qualifies regardless of when the individual is sworn in or begins serving. The market resolves to No if no qualifying announcement is made by the deadline. The outcome is decided using official information from the Trump administration, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- End date: — Deadline for the announcement at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the Trump administration or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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