Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Current price
53.5¢
Implied probability 53.5%
$66.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify that resolution requires an official announcement of a permanent replacement for the current Press Secretary by the stated deadline, regardless of when the individual officially begins service. Explicitly excluding acting or interim announcements limits potential ambiguity. While resolution allows for a consensus of credible reporting alongside official White House statements, the factual nature of high-profile administration appointments makes disputes over resolution unlikely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump or his administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement qualifies regardless of when the individual is sworn in or begins serving, but an acting or interim Press Secretary does not count. The market resolves to No otherwise. Official information from the Trump administration serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Latest time for a qualifying announcement (11:59 PM ET).
Resolution source
Official information from the Trump administration, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.