Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?
Current price
62.5¢
Implied probability 62.5%
$26.4K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market establishes clear terms for resolving a standard soccer match outcome. Resolution relies primarily on official governing body match statistics, backed by a clear fallback hierarchy to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting if needed. It specifies that only regular time plus stoppage time counts, outlines that full cancellations resolve to No, and notes that postponements will keep the market open until played. The rules align closely with standard match betting conventions, presenting minimal resolution risk.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether FC Barcelona will win their scheduled match on October 25, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if FC Barcelona wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if FC Barcelona does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until completion. The market resolves 50-50 (or to Draw where applicable) if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers decide resolution. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours, data from Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — The market remains open if the game is postponed.
Resolution source
Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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