Putin out as President of Russia by...?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: June 30, 2027 at 10% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $26.1M total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Vladimir Putin will leave office as President of Russia by various future dates. Each individual market corresponds to a specific target deadline, measuring whether he ceases to hold the office or is effectively removed on or before that date.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of a timeline of cumulative date thresholds. Because each market asks whether Vladimir Putin is out of office by a specific deadline, an exit occurring before an earlier date (such as December 31, 2026) would also satisfy later deadlines (such as June 30, 2027), meaning multiple markets can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period between market creation and the specified date (ET). An announcement of his resignation or removal before the end date triggers an immediate Yes resolution regardless of the effective date. Being detained, effectively removed, or permanently prevented from fulfilling presidential duties within the timeframe also qualifies for Yes. If none of these conditions are met, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined by official information from Vladimir Putin and the Russian government, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- December 31, 2026 deadline: — Deadline for the December 31, 2026 market (ET).
- June 30, 2027 deadline: — Deadline for the June 30, 2027 market (ET).
Resolution source
Official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 10% | ▼ 1 | Med | High | |
| December 31, 2026 | 3% | ±0 | Med | High |