EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá
Change in points, 24hView event →
Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 63–84%
Politics markets
591 live Polymarket markets in 370 events- LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 16 PTS
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks48¢−8¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 45–70% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver11.05¢+5.2¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 5.85–13.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Likud · 7 daysRange 26–50% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Change in points, 24hView event →Gadi Eizenkot · 7 daysRange 45–55% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia · 7 daysRange 61–75% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
+1 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions21¢−4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 19–26.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
Change in points, 24hView event →Flavio Bolsonaro · 7 daysRange 82–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 63–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CO-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lauren Boebert (R) · 7 daysRange 72–73% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jamie Ager (D) · Since Oct 14Range 75–86% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ryan Elijah (R) · 7 daysRange 64–71% - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Democrats 8-10%28%±0Democrats 6-8%20%▼ 2Democrats 12-14%10%±0Democrats 14-16%4%▲ 1Democrats 16%+3%±0+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Abdul El-Sayed (D) · 7 daysRange 69–71% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Sherrod Brown (D) · 7 daysRange 62–69% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · 7 daysRange 88–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Troy Jackson (D) · 7 daysRange 59–63% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Chris Pappas (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tina Kotek (D) · 7 daysRange 76–79% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brandon Herrera (R) · 7 daysRange 64–72% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Marshall 0-5% · Since Oct 14Range 24–41% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rebecca Bennett (D) · 7 daysRange 90–93% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14¢+3.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 9–14¢ - LowGotcha
Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver72.5¢+2.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 70–73¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Cooper 9-12% · Since Oct 17Range 23–26% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lloyd Smucker (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.3¢+0.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.4–7.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
IA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lindsay James (D) · 7 daysRange 57–63% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Peltola 0-3% · Since Oct 17Range 32–35% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Shannon Taylor (D) · 7 daysRange 54–60% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-26 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mario Díaz-Balart (R) · 7 daysRange 89–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Change in points, 24hView event →Labour Party · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.75¢+1.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–5.95¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.8¢+1.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.7¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver96.45¢+1.05¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 94.2–96.45¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Klobuchar (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Change in points, 24hView event →Iliana Iotova · 7 daysRange 86–89% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Ford (D) · 7 daysRange 52–59% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming19¢+4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.5–19.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Don Davis (D) · 7 daysRange 67–73% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
SC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) · 7 daysRange 68–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MT-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Flint (R) · 7 daysRange 66–71% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Pappas 6-9% · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 20%