EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Nick LaLota (R) · Since Oct 14Range 85–86%
Politics markets
668 live Polymarket markets in 387 events- LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.9¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.9¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event →Jackson 3-6% · Since Oct 17Range 27–33% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OK-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Stephanie Bice (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.3¢−7.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.25–12.05¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Elaine Luria (D) · 7 daysRange 87–91% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Roger Marshall (R) · 7 daysRange 63–64% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.6¢+0.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.95¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%±0No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate34%±0Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate3%▲ 1Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate3%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bryan Steil (R) · 7 daysRange 62–64% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-09 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Richard Hudson (R) · Since Oct 17Flat at 82% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver25.5¢±0¢ since Oct 15Since Oct 15Flat at 25.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–9.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Cotton (R) · 7 daysRange 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →French Hill (R) · 7 daysRange 82–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Van Drew (R) · Since Oct 17Range 84–85% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.3¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.1–4.75¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.05¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.6¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-15 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bobby Pulido (D) · 7 daysRange 81–83% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 7 daysFlat at 63% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−2.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Castor (D) · 7 daysRange 67–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Steve Womack (R) · Since Oct 18Range 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MI-10 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysRange 65–66% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · 7 daysRange 48–52% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Joyce (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks58¢+1.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 56–58¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Murphy (R) · 7 daysRange 81–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ty Masterson (R) · 7 daysRange 75–76% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
HI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jill Tokuda (D) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.3–6.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver5.65¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–5.75¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-17 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Cait Conley (D) · 7 daysRange 59–61% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.8¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Suozzi (D) · 7 daysRange 87–90% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 12 PTS
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming24¢+3.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.3–28.1¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-16 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike Kelly (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MD-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Andy Harris (R) · 7 daysRange 85–94% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →