PA-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Brian Fitzpatrick (R) at 63% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $39.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District (PA-01). The markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party competing for the congressional seat. Since only one party's candidate can win the single seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's specified political party wins the PA-01 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date of the election for the PA-01 congressional district seat.
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | 63% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Bob Harvie (D) | 39% | ±0 | Low | High |