NY-03 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Tom Suozzi (D) at 90% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $48.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which party or candidate will win the election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing New York's 3rd Congressional District (NY-03) in the 2026 midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a political party whose candidate could win the seat. Because only one candidate wins the single congressional seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's designated party wins the NY-03 seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission (FEC) results if reporting is ambiguous.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Suozzi (D) | 90% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Mike LiPetri (R) | 10% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med |