NJ-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jeff Van Drew (R) at 84% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $39.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district (NJ-02), measuring which political party or affiliated candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a political party competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the single House seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that party wins the NJ-02 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Candidate party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called, or by intended caucus for candidates without a listed Democrat or Republican affiliation. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, falling back to official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Van Drew (R) | 84% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Zack Mullock (D) | 16% | ±0 | Low | Med |