Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Current price
3¢
−0.75¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3%
$27K total volume · YES/NO
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Gotcha coverage has not been generated for this market.
Liquidity
High tradability
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
Explainer coverage has not been generated for this market.
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.