TX-15 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Bobby Pulido (D) at 83% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $66.9K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Texas's 15th congressional district. Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets for competing political parties/candidates contesting a single House seat. Because only one candidate wins the election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or stated intent to caucus when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — The date the 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission as fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido (D) | 83% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Monica De La Cruz (R) | 18% | ±0 | Low | High |