NY-17 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Cait Conley (D) at 61% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $69.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for New York's 17th congressional district, measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets structured around the political parties competing for the single House seat. Only one candidate can win the seat, meaning at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that specific party wins the NY-17 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation at the time all 2026 House elections are called, or by expressed intent to caucus if not listed as Democrat or Republican. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission reporting used if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cait Conley (D) | 61% | ±0 | Med | High | |
| Mike Lawler (R) | 41% | ±0 | Low | High |