OH-14 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: David Joyce (R) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $101.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Ohio's 14th congressional district, measuring which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a political party competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one candidate can win the seat in the election, only one market can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's specified party wins the OH-14 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all House elections are called, or by the party the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Joyce (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Maria Jukic (D) | 3% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med |