WI-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Bryan Steil (R) at 62% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $18.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Wisconsin's 1st Congressional District (WI-01). Markets measure which political party or associated candidate will win the congressional seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of separate markets representing political parties or candidates competing for the single WI-01 House seat. Because only one candidate or party can win the congressional seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the WI-01 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are called, or by expressed intent to caucus if not ballot-listed. Markets resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the sole source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — The 2026 midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Steil (R) | 62% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Mitchell Berman (D) | 39% | ▲ 1 | Low | High |