MD-01 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Andy Harris (R) at 87% (−2 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $88.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the MD-01 congressional district election in the U.S. House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections, measuring which political party will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one candidate wins the seat, the market for the winning candidate's party will resolve to Yes, while the other resolves to No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the party affiliation of the candidate who wins the MD-01 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus at the time all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Midterm elections take place
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Harris (R) | 87% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med | |
| Dan Schwartz (D) | 13% | ±0 | Low | Med |