Kansas Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Roger Marshall (R) at 63% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $917.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election. Individual markets measure which political party or candidate will win the Senate seat, accounting for potential party nominees and run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for a single Senate seat. Since only one winner will emerge from the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves based on the winning party or nominee in the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. If a named candidate is replaced as their party's nominee before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If a consensus among all three is not reached, resolution will be determined by the official certification.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Year: — Year of the 2026 Kansas U.S. Senate midterm election; specific date not stated.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Marshall (R) | 63% | ▼ 1 | Low | High | |
| Adam Hamilton (D) | 38% | ±0 | Low | High |