Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
Current price
2.8¢
+0.35¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.8%
$36.6K total volume · YES/NO
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The supplied text contains no substantive resolution rules and only provides an external link to a PDF document. Without the actual rules text included in the prompt, the resolution criteria, sources, and timing cannot be evaluated.
Cannot assess: The market has no resolution rules to assess. (rules_absent)
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether three specific conditions occur simultaneously: a Hormuz agreement, oil prices falling below $80, and the Republicans winning the Senate. It relies entirely on an external document for its detailed rules.
How it resolves
The provided text references an external document link for the resolution rules but does not state specific resolution criteria, thresholds, sources, or outcome definitions directly.
Key dates
No key dates are identified in this explainer.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
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