Alaska Governor Election Winner
22 live outcomes · highest priced: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 79% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $1.6M total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. Each market measures whether a specific candidate will win the election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured as one market per potential candidate. Because the markets resolve based on which single candidate wins the gubernatorial election, at most one candidate's market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the named candidate wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. The primary resolution criteria require the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC to all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate, resolution relies on official certification. If election results are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market will resolve to Other.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date the gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place.
- Confirmation deadline: — Market resolves to Other if results are not confirmed by this date.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 79% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Bernadette Wilson | 22% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| David Bronson | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Treg Taylor | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Click Bishop | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Adam Crum | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Nancy Dahlstrom | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Edna DeVries | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Matt Heilala | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Shelley Hughes | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| James Parkin | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Lisa Murkowski | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Tom Begich | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Mary Peltola | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Hank Kroll | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Bruce Walden | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Matt Claman | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Lesil McGuire | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Gregg Brelsford | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Jessica Faircloth | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Destry J. Payne Sr. | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Bill Walker | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |