PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

MI-10 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Christina Hines (D) at 65% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $9K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing Michigan's 10th congressional district in the 2026 midterm elections.

How the outcomes relate

The event contains mutually exclusive markets representing competing political parties or candidates for a single congressional seat. Only one candidate or party can win the seat, meaning at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves according to the political party of the winning candidate in the MI-10 congressional district election. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called, or by the party the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.

Key dates

  • 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date of the election.

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission if there is ambiguity

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for MI-10 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Christina Hines (D)65%±0LowHigh
Mike Bouchard (R)35%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysFlat at 65%