Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Current price
0.45¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.45%
$50.5K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market has clear resolution conditions tied directly to the outcome of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. It resolves early if three major news outlets—the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC—all project the same winner. If those outlets do not achieve a unanimous call, resolution defaults unambiguously to the official election certification. A generous long-stop date of July 31, 2027 provides ample time for any recounts or standard election disputes to conclude without causing an unexpected premature resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether David Bronson wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if David Bronson wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins the election. The market resolves to Other if the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027. The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC decide the outcome once all three call the race for the same candidate. Official certification decides the outcome if all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Scheduled date for the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election.
- Confirmation deadline: — Deadline for election results to be confirmed before resolving to Other.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, and official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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