FL-14 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Kathy Castor (D) at 70% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $69K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the Florida's 14th Congressional District seat in the U.S. House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections. Individual markets measure the winning outcome for each specified party.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent distinct political parties competing for the same congressional district seat. Because a single candidate wins the seat and party affiliation is assigned to that winner, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the FL-14 House seat belongs to or is affiliated with the specified party; otherwise, it resolves to No. Affiliation is based on ballot listing or the party the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus with when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission serving as the fallback source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm election date: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Castor (D) | 70% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Mike Beltran (R) | 31% | ±0 | Low | High |