EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-11 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Lloyd Smucker (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97%
Markets
876 live Polymarket markets in 464 events- LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.2¢+0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.4–7.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
RI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Seth Magaziner (D) · Since Oct 14Range 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
IA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Lindsay James (D) · 7 daysRange 57–63% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas
Change in points, 24hView event →Lula · 7 daysRange 45–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Shannon Taylor (D) · 7 daysRange 54–60% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-26 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mario Díaz-Balart (R) · 7 daysRange 89–91% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Change in points, 24hView event →Labour Party · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.8¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–5.95¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.7¢+1.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–5.7¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-25 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Roger Williams (R) · Since Oct 14Range 94–96% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Klobuchar (D) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pete Ricketts (R) · 7 daysRange 71–73% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Change in points, 24hView event →Iliana Iotova · 7 daysRange 86–89% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Ford (D) · 7 daysRange 52–59% - MedGotcha
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 3 MEDIUMResolverTimingWording1.5¢+0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.55–1.8¢ - Can'tGotcha
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No resolution rules published35.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 32.5–42¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC
Change in points, 24hView event →FC Bayern München · Since Oct 16Range 45–48% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Maine Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Troy Jackson (D) · 7 daysRange 59–62% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OK-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Stephanie Bice (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming19¢+4.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.5–19.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Don Davis (D) · 7 daysRange 67–73% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
SC-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) · 7 daysRange 68–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MT-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Flint (R) · 7 daysRange 66–71% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Pappas 6-9% · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 20% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver13.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 9–13.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver46¢+2¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 44–46¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Nebraska Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 91–92% - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
+3 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.55¢+0.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.45–1.65¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 64–65% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
California Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Xavier Becerra · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Texas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →James Talarico (D) · 7 daysRange 62–65% - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Change in points, 24hView event → - MedGotcha
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWording0.25¢−0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.25–1.05¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jake Ellzey (R) · 7 daysRange 94–100% - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate65%±0No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate32%▼ 1Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate2%±0Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate1%±0Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Amy Acton (D) · 7 daysRange 69–73% - LowGotcha
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks0.15¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.15–0.25¢ - MedGotcha
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMExceptionsResolver4.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Warriors vs. Lakers
No resolution risks flagged4 checks27.5¢−0.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 27.5–28¢ - LowGotcha
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.5¢−5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 14.5–19.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF
Change in points, 24hView event →FC Barcelona · Since 00:56 UTCRange 63–64% - HighGotcha
Iran leadership change by October 31?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverWordingExceptions1.6¢+0.25¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.2–3.05¢