TX-25 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Roger Williams (R) at 96% (+1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $43.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing Texas's 25th congressional district. Markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Because only one candidate can win the congressional seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market will resolve to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that political party wins the TX-25 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Candidate party affiliation is based on ballot listing or caucus intent at the time elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Williams (R) | 96% | ▲ 1 | Low | High | |
| Dione Sims (D) | 2% | ▲ 1 | Med | Med |