Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$2.8M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are straightforward and point directly to official announcements from France Football, the governing organization for the award. The resolution criteria match the title directly with an explicit expiration deadline at the end of 2026 if the award is delayed or cancelled. There is minimal room for interpretive ambiguity or source discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether professional football player Fabian Ruiz will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or. A notable aspect of the resolution criteria is that the market will resolve to Other if no winner is declared by the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Fabian Ruiz is named the winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or. The market resolves to No if another individual is declared the winner. The market resolves to Other if no winner of the 2026 Ballon d'Or is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is determined using official information released by France Football.
Key dates
- Winner declaration cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
France Football
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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