EVENT · 10 OUTCOMES
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
+5 more outcomesView event →
Markets
1,941 live Polymarket markets in 592 events- EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
IPOs before 2027?
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 17 OUTCOMES
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
+12 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks8.5¢±0¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Flat at 8.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
Change in points, 24hView event →December 31, 2028 · 7 daysFlat at 26% - LowGotcha
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.2¢−0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.7¢ - LowGotcha
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver0.35¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.35–0.65¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NM-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Gabe Vasquez (D) · 7 daysRange 92–93% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo
Change in points, 24hView event →Dems sweep · Since Oct 14Range 47–53% - LowGotcha
Mavericks vs. Rockets
No resolution risks flagged4 checks23.5¢−2¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 23.5–25.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.5¢−4¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–8.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver26¢+2¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 24–27.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MT-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Aaron Flint (R) · 7 daysRange 66–71% - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Sand 6-9% · Since Oct 18Flat at 22% - LowGotcha
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver92.45¢−0.45¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 92.45–92.9¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike McGuire (D) · Since Oct 16Range 93–95% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.65–5.9¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TN-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Scott DesJarlais (R) · 7 daysRange 94–99% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TN-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Matt Van Epps (R) · 7 daysRange 96–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.8¢−2.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–7¢ - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions27¢+2.5¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 24–33¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Scott Fitzgerald (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver40.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 39–41¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Montana Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kurt Alme (R) · 7 daysRange 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Moody 0-3% · Since Oct 18Flat at 11% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.6¢+0.95¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–5.35¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz
Change in points, 24hView event →Sporting CP · Since 00:56 UTCFlat at 81% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.25¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.7–1.75¢ - EVENT · 8 OUTCOMES
UEFA Nations League Winner 2026-27
+3 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Republican 0-5% · Since Oct 17Flat at 28% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TIME Person of the Year 2026
Change in points, 24hView event →Zohran Mamdani · 7 daysFlat at 28% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-35 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Johnny Garcia (D) · 7 daysRange 58–62% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WA-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) · Since Oct 17Flat at 90% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-22 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pia Dandiya (D) · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver11.5¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 11.5–15¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 7 OUTCOMES
Pacers vs. Pelicans
+2 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-24 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Beth Van Duyne (R) · 7 daysRange 91–92% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver15¢+2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 12–15¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Poindexter (D) · 7 daysRange 81–84% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver65.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 65.5–66.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-27 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →María Elvira Salazar (R) · 7 daysRange 63–68% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver3.2¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.1–3.45¢ - LowGotcha
Suns vs. Trail Blazers
No resolution risks flagged4 checks40.5¢±0¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCFlat at 40.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver2.65¢+0.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 2.5–2.65¢ - LowGotcha
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks5.8¢−0.9¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 5.15–7¢