Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
Current price
1.95¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 1.95%
$167.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines what qualifies for a positive outcome: the completion of an Initial Public Offering on any recognized stock exchange before the specified end-of-2026 deadline. It resolves early if an IPO occurs before the deadline. Notably, the rules explicitly address corporate actions by stipulating that if Mistral AI is acquired, merges, or ceases to exist, the market will resolve to No. While resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting or official company announcements rather than a single specified stock exchange registry, an IPO of a prominent firm is a public, highly documented event with minimal room for subjective dispute.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mistral AI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) on a recognized stock exchange before 2027. Mergers, acquisitions, or the company ceasing to exist will trigger an early resolution to No.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Mistral AI completes an Initial Public Offering, defined as its first sale of stock to the public on any recognized stock exchange, by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market will resolve early if the IPO occurs before this deadline. The market resolves to No if the company merges with another entity, is acquired, ceases to exist before resolution, or fails to complete an IPO by the deadline. The resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, including official company announcements or credible news sources.
Key dates
- IPO completion deadline: — Deadline for Mistral AI to complete its IPO
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, official company announcements, or credible news sources
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