WA-03 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) at 90% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $55.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Washington's 3rd congressional district (WA-03). Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent potential winning parties or candidates for the single House seat. Because a single congressional district seat has only one winner, at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with the specified political party wins the WA-03 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or expressed intent to caucus when all House elections are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | 90% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| John Braun (R) | 9% | ±0 | Low | Med |