PolymarketEvent4 live of 4 outcomes

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

4 live outcomes · highest priced: Dems sweep at 72% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $63.3K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the combined electoral outcomes of the 2026 Alaska Gubernatorial and United States Senate races, measuring which political parties win the respective seats.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of mutually exclusive combination outcomes representing possible distributions of party victories across the two elections. Because both races have a single winner, at most one outcome combination can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Markets resolve based on the official winners of both Alaska elections. A sweep occurs when a single party wins both races. Candidate party representation is determined by ballot-listed or identifiable party affiliation; independents do not count for Democratic or Republican options. If results are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins either race, the market resolves to 'Other'. Consensus from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC triggers resolution; if they lack consensus, official certification determines the result.

Key dates

  • Election date: — Scheduled date for the Alaska Gubernatorial and US Senate elections.
  • Resolution cutoff date: — Deadline by which election results must be conclusively known, or the market resolves to 'Other'.

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Dems sweep72%▼ 1LowMed
Reps sweep14%±0LowLow
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate13%—LowMed
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate3%±0LowLow

Highest-priced outcome

Dems sweep · 7 daysRange 69–76%