Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?
Current price
15.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 15.5%
$5.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The resolution criteria are clear and rely on official tournament outcomes from UEFA, with standard journalistic consensus as a fallback. Holders should note the early resolution rule, which allows the market to settle to No as soon as England is mathematically eliminated or knocked out of contention prior to the final. Additionally, if the tournament is cancelled or delayed beyond July 23, 2028 without a winner, the market is specified to resolve to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether England will win the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. It includes a specific fallback resolution to Other if the tournament is delayed beyond late July 2028.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if England wins the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for England to win the tournament under UEFA rules, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from UEFA will serve as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the tournament is postponed past this time or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.