PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

TX-35 House Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Johnny Garcia (D) at 59% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $53.4K total volume

About this event

This event covers the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat in Texas's 35th congressional district. Its markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured with distinct markets representing political parties competing for the same congressional seat. Because only one winning candidate will take the TX-35 seat, at most one party market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves according to the political party of the winning candidate in the TX-35 congressional race. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are conclusively called. If an unaffiliated candidate wins, affiliation is determined by their most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if ambiguity exists.

Key dates

  • Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.

Resolution source

A consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for TX-35 House Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Johnny Garcia (D)59%▼ 1LowHigh
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Johnny Garcia (D) · 7 daysRange 58–62%