TX-24 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Beth Van Duyne (R) at 91% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $70.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Texas's 24th congressional district. Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party competing for the single congressional seat. Because only one candidate wins the district seat, only one party outcome can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the TX-24 House seat is affiliated with the specified party, and No otherwise. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing, identifiable affiliation, or stated caucus intent at the time all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the fallback source in case of ambiguity.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beth Van Duyne (R) | 91% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Kevin Burge (D) | 9% | ±0 | Low | High |