Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Current price
20.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 20.5%
$13.8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League using UEFA as the primary authority. It includes clear provisions for early negative resolution if France is eliminated prior to the final, and specifies a definitive deadline of June 13, 2027, resolving to Other if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond that date. The rules are standard and closely align with what a reader would expect from the question.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether France wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. It includes an 'Other' fallback outcome if the tournament is cancelled or not concluded by a specified deadline.
How it resolves
The market will resolve to Yes if France wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market will resolve to No if France is eliminated or if it becomes impossible for France to win per UEFA rules. The market will resolve to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution is decided using official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET on this date
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.