Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
80.5¢
Implied probability 80.5%
$2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on whether Sporting CP wins within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with extra time or penalties excluded. A structured hierarchy of sources is provided, starting with the event's official governing body, followed by named fallback statistics providers (Flashscore, then Sofascore). Postponements keep the market open until completion, and full cancellations resolve to No, though participants should note the fallback provision to resolve 50-50 if no reliable data appears within 24 hours.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sporting CP will win their scheduled match on October 21, 2026. The resolution specifically restricts the outcome to regular play plus stoppage time, disregarding extra time or penalty shootouts.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Sporting CP wins within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Sporting CP does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. The market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable, if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of completion. Resolution is decided primarily by official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, falling back to Flashscore after 2 hours, then Sofascore, then credible reporting consensus.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date the game is scheduled to take place.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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