Suns vs. Trail Blazers
Current price
40.5¢
Implied probability 40.5%
$141.6 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves cleanly based on the final official score of the specified NBA game, including any overtime periods. While no specific statistics provider or official league website is explicitly named, NBA game outcomes are standardized and publicly undisputed. The rules clearly address contingencies, stating the market will remain open if postponed or resolve evenly at 50-50 if canceled without a rescheduled game.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to "Trail Blazers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures the winner of the NBA game between the Phoenix Suns and the Portland Trail Blazers scheduled for October 21. It features a 50-50 split resolution if the game is canceled without a make-up game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Suns if the Suns win the game. The market resolves to Trail Blazers if the Trail Blazers win the game. Final scores include any overtime periods played. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Key dates
- Scheduled game start: Scheduled for October 21 at 10:00PM ET Year not in source: 2025-10-21.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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