FL-27 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: María Elvira Salazar (R) at 67% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $39.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Florida's 27th congressional district. Its markets measure which political party will win the seat in the midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event comprises markets tracking specific political parties/candidates competing for a single congressional seat. Because only one candidate wins the seat, only one party outcome can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the FL-27 congressional seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identified affiliation when all 2026 House races are called, or by stated caucusing intent for unaffiliated candidates. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission serving as the official fallback if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Date: — The date on which the 2026 midterm elections will take place.
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission (FEC)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| María Elvira Salazar (R) | 67% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Eliott Rodriguez (D) | 33% | ±0 | Low | High |