Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
Current price
50.5¢
Implied probability 50.5%
$21.6 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the spread condition, specifying that the market resolves to Pacers if they win by 4 or more points, and to Pelicans otherwise. Standard tie handling and postponement or cancellation contingencies are explicitly stated, minimizing potential surprises or subjective interpretation.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 21 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pacers" if the Pacers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Pacers will cover a 3.5-point spread against the Pelicans in their scheduled NBA game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Pacers if the Pacers win the game by 4 or more points. The market resolves to Pelicans if the Pacers do not win by 4 or more points, which includes a Pelicans victory, a Pacers win by 3 or fewer points, or a tie. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until it is completed. The rules do not specify an external resolving authority.
Key dates
- Scheduled game date: — Game scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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