Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-21?
Current price
7.5¢
Implied probability 7.5%
$58 total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify that the market tracks whether LASK Linz wins their scheduled game on October 21, 2026, considering only regular time plus stoppage time. Official governing body statistics serve as the primary source, backed by a clear waterfall of fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting) if official data is delayed. Standard contingency rules handle match postponements and cancellations, and later official revisions are explicitly excluded after resolution.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 21, 2026 If LASK Linz wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether LASK Linz will win their scheduled match on October 21, 2026, considering only regular play plus stoppage time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if LASK Linz wins the game within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if LASK Linz does not win, or if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to Draw where applicable. The primary deciding source is the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event concluding, Flashscore data may be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.
Key dates
- Scheduled match date: — Date of the scheduled game; market stays open if postponed.
Resolution source
Official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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