Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Current price
11.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 11.15%
$13.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules are straightforward and follow the standard outcome of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League tournament. Resolution relies primarily on official data from UEFA, the governing body of the competition. Early resolution is permitted to 'No' if Portugal is mathematically eliminated before the tournament concludes. Additionally, a clear cutoff date of June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET is defined, resolving to 'Other' if the tournament is cancelled or prolonged past that point without a declared winner.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Portugal will win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. A notable condition is that the market will resolve to 'Other' if the tournament is cancelled, postponed beyond June 13, 2027, or fails to declare a winner by that time.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Portugal wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for Portugal to win the tournament under UEFA rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed past June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution will be determined using official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement and cancellation resolution cutoff: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Community forecast
Community forecasting arrives with the forecast tools.