NM-02 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Gabe Vasquez (D) at 92% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $74.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District (NM-02). Markets measure which political party or candidate wins the congressional seat.
How the outcomes relate
Markets correspond to political parties competing for a single seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Because only one candidate can win the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if a candidate affiliated with that political party wins the NM-02 seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when elections are conclusively called, or by the party the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Day: — Date of the 2026 midterm elections
Resolution source
Federal Election Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vasquez (D) | 92% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Greg Cunningham (R) | 8% | ±0 | Low | High |