TN-04 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Scott DesJarlais (R) at 99% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $133.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 election for the U.S. House of Representatives seat representing Tennessee's 4th congressional district (TN-04), measuring which political party's candidate wins the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Each market represents a specific political party's bid to win the TN-04 congressional seat. Because a single candidate wins the district seat, only one party's market can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the TN-04 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. A winning candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or identifiable affiliation, or by their expressed intent to caucus if not listed as Democrat or Republican. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with official results from the Federal Election Commission serving as the sole source if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Election day when the midterm elections will take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott DesJarlais (R) | 99% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Victoria Broderick (D) | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med |