WI-05 House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Scott Fitzgerald (R) at 97% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $108.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election for Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District (WI-05). Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the congressional seat.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for the single WI-05 House seat. Because only one candidate/party can win the seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with that market's party wins the WI-05 U.S. House seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed affiliation, identifiable affiliation, or expressed caucus intent when all 2026 House races are called. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- Midterm Elections Date: — The 2026 midterm elections will take place on this date.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) used if there is ambiguity
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Fitzgerald (R) | 97% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Andrew Beck (D) | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med |