Montana Senate Election Winner
3 live outcomes · highest priced: Kurt Alme (R) at 92% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $181.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Montana U.S. Senate election. Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the Senate seat, inclusive of any potential run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains distinct markets structured around the competing political parties and candidates for a single Senate seat. Because only one candidate can win the election, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its specified party nominee or candidate wins the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, and No otherwise. A candidate represents a party if they are its official nominee, and independent candidates are not encompassed by party options. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If they do not reach consensus, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: — The election takes place during the 2026 midterms.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme (R) | 92% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Independent | 8% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Alani Bankhead (D) | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med |