Will Netherlands win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
Current price
5.5¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 5.5%
$9.2K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League, relying directly on official information from UEFA or a consensus of credible reporting. The rules explicitly provide for early resolution to No if Netherlands is mathematically eliminated before the tournament concludes. There is also a clear longstop deadline of June 13, 2027, resolving to Other if the competition is cancelled or delayed past that point. The criteria are straightforward with minimal risk of unexpected interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Netherlands will win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Netherlands wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the Netherlands to win the tournament per UEFA rules, such as being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past June 13, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if cancelled, postponed past this date, or if no winner is declared by 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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