Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?
Current price
51.5¢
+5¢ · 24h
Implied probability 51.5%
$8K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly specify what constitutes a sweep, requiring Democratic victories in both the 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial and Senate races, including run-offs. Clear party affiliation criteria are established, explicitly excluding independents from being credited to major parties. Resolution relies on an unanimous consensus call from three named media outlets (AP, Fox News, and NBC), with official state certification acting as a defined fallback if they disagree. A March 31, 2027 deadline provides ample buffer for standard election certification timelines and run-offs.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Georgia that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Democratic candidates will win both the Georgia Gubernatorial and U.S. Senate general elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any run-offs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Democratic candidates win both the Georgia Gubernatorial and U.S. Senate general elections. Candidates running as independents do not count as Democrats or Republicans regardless of party affiliation. The market resolves to No if Democrats do not sweep both races, unless an "Other" condition is met. The market resolves to Other if an independent or third-party candidate wins either election, or if results are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027. Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC decide the outcome once all three call the races; if they lack consensus, official certification decides.
Key dates
- Election day: — Date of the Georgia general elections
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for conclusive results before resolving to Other
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if consensus is not reached)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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