EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
David Joyce (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97%
Politics markets
1,021 live Polymarket markets in 413 events- LowGotcha
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks58¢+1.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 56–58¢ - LowGotcha
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMTiming27.55¢−1.95¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 27.05–30.1¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Murphy (R) · 7 daysRange 81–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ty Masterson (R) · 7 daysRange 75–76% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
HI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jill Tokuda (D) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4¢−0.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.5¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.3–6.8¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver5.65¢+1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 3–5.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGH · 1 MEDIUMResolverTiming4¢+0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.5–4.8¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Suozzi (D) · 7 daysRange 87–90% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OR-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▲ 12 PTS
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming24¢+3.8¢ 7d7 daysRange 14.3–28.1¢ · explanation pending - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MD-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Andy Harris (R) · 7 daysRange 85–94% - EVENT · 22 OUTCOMES
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins79%±0Bernadette Wilson22%±0David Bronson<1%±0Treg Taylor<1%±0Click Bishop<1%±0+17 more outcomesView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the PA-16 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver96.2¢+1.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 93.85–96.35¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-23 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jay Obernolte (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
New Mexico Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Deb Haaland (D) · 7 daysRange 91–96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-06 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Democratic Party · 7 daysRange 94–97% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bill Hagerty (R) · 7 daysRange 94–96% - LowGotcha
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks31¢−3.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NM-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Gabe Vasquez (D) · 7 daysRange 92–93% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo
Change in points, 24hView event →Dems sweep · Since Oct 14Range 47–53% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver27.5¢+3.5¢ since Oct 14Since Oct 14Range 24–27.5¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Sand 6-9% · Since Oct 18Flat at 22% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-22 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
CA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Mike McGuire (D) · Since Oct 16Range 93–95% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.65–5.9¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TN-04 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Scott DesJarlais (R) · 7 daysRange 94–99% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TN-07 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Matt Van Epps (R) · 7 daysRange 96–97% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.85¢−2.15¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.55–7¢ - LowGotcha
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 2 MEDIUMResolverTiming2.75¢+1.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.95–2.8¢ - EVENT · 5 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Change in points, 24hView event → - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 30%-35%?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMExceptions27.5¢+3¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 24–33¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Scott Fitzgerald (R) · 7 daysRange 94–98% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver40.5¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 39–41¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Montana Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kurt Alme (R) · 7 daysRange 92–94% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Moody 0-3% · Since Oct 18Flat at 11% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the ID-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.6¢+0.95¢ 7d7 daysRange 3.35–5.35¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks1.3¢+0.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.7–1.75¢ - EVENT · 3 OUTCOMES
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory
Change in points, 24hView event →Republican 0-5% · Since Oct 17Flat at 28% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-35 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Johnny Garcia (D) · 7 daysRange 58–62% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WA-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) · Since Oct 17Flat at 90% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-22 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Pia Dandiya (D) · 7 daysRange 54–55% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver11.5¢−2.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 11.5–15¢ - EVENT · 4 OUTCOMES
Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
Change in points, 24hView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-24 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Beth Van Duyne (R) · 7 daysRange 91–92% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.5¢+2¢ 7d7 daysRange 12–14.5¢