New Mexico Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Deb Haaland (D) at 94% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $75.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. Its markets measure which political party's nominee wins the governor race.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party. Because a single gubernatorial election yields only one winning party nominee, at most one market in this event can resolve Yes. Candidates running as independents are not included in the Democrat or Republican options.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if its specified party's nominee wins the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election, and No otherwise. If a named candidate is replaced as their party's nominee before election day, the contract name will update to follow the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not agree on the call, resolution will be determined by the official state certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The election takes place in 2026. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if they disagree)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deb Haaland (D) | 94% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Gregg Hull (R) | 6% | ±0 | Low | Med |