Tennessee Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Bill Hagerty (R) at 96% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $96.7K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee. Markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat, accounting for potential party nominees and any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent the different political parties or candidates competing in the election. Because there is only one winner for the Senate seat, at most one market outcome can resolve Yes, with the others resolving No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if its specified party or nominee wins the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not agree on the call, the market resolves based on official certification.
Key dates
- Midterm Election Year: — Specific election day is not detailed in the rules; year is 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Hagerty (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | 4% | ±0 | Low | High |