EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MO-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →
Ann Wagner (R) · 7 daysRange 74–78%
Politics markets
829 live Polymarket markets in 405 events- EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Peggy Flanagan (D) · 7 daysRange 87–88% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Rob Sand (D) · 7 daysRange 88–91% - LowGotcha
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks6.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 6.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Spain General Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →PP · 7 daysRange 85–87% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver0.45¢−4.05¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.35–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Crowley (D) · 7 daysRange 81–82% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NY-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Nick LaLota (R) · Since Oct 14Range 85–86% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.9¢+1¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.9¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OK-05 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Stephanie Bice (R) · Since Oct 17Range 87–89% - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.3¢−7.7¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.25–12.05¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 6 OUTCOMES
Who will be arrested before 2027?
+1 more outcomesView event → - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
VA-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Elaine Luria (D) · 7 daysRange 87–91% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢−1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Roger Marshall (R) · 7 daysRange 63–64% - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks2.6¢+0.55¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.7–2.95¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
WI-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bryan Steil (R) · 7 daysRange 62–64% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-09 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Richard Hudson (R) · Since Oct 17Flat at 82% - LowGotcha
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver99¢+0.35¢ 7d7 daysRange 98.15–99.1¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver25.5¢±0¢ since Oct 15Since Oct 15Flat at 25.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢+3¢ 7d7 daysRange 6.5–9.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Tom Cotton (R) · 7 daysRange 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →French Hill (R) · 7 daysRange 82–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jeff Van Drew (R) · Since Oct 17Range 84–85% - LowGotcha
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks9.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysFlat at 9.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks4.3¢−0.1¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.1–4.75¢ - LowGotcha
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver14.4¢−0.6¢ 7d7 daysRange 13.55–15.15¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 HIGHResolver4¢−1.5¢ 7d7 daysRange 4–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−0.2¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.95–2.7¢ - LowGotcha
Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver1.05¢−0.3¢ 7d7 daysRange 0.85–1.6¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Change in points, 24hView event →2 · 7 daysFlat at 90% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver4.5¢±0¢ 7d7 daysRange 4.5–5.5¢ - LowGotcha
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks33.5¢+3¢ since 00:56 UTCSince 00:56 UTCRange 30.5–34.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jon Ossoff (D) · 7 daysFlat at 96% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
TX-15 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Bobby Pulido (D) · 7 daysRange 81–83% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
PA-01 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Brian Fitzpatrick (R) · 7 daysFlat at 63% - LowGotcha
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver2.1¢−2.4¢ 7d7 daysRange 1.75–5.5¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
FL-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Kathy Castor (D) · 7 daysRange 67–70% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
AR-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Steve Womack (R) · Since Oct 18Range 94–95% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
MI-10 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Christina Hines (D) · 7 daysRange 65–66% - LowGotchaBIG MOVE · ▼ 12 PTS
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
RESOLUTION RISKS · 1 MEDIUMResolver64¢+13.5¢ 24hWHY IT MOVED · NO CLEAR CATALYSTNo headline in the hours around the move explains it.5 headlines checked - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) · 7 daysRange 48–52% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
OH-14 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →David Joyce (R) · 7 daysRange 94–97% - LowGotcha
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?
No resolution risks flagged4 checks58¢+1.5¢ since Oct 18Since Oct 18Range 56–58¢ - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
NC-03 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Greg Murphy (R) · 7 daysRange 81–85% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Ty Masterson (R) · 7 daysRange 75–76% - EVENT · 2 OUTCOMES
HI-02 House Election Winner
Change in points, 24hView event →Jill Tokuda (D) · Since 00:56 UTCRange 94–96%