Spain General Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: PP at 85% · first close Nov 30, 2026 · $117.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Spanish general election, measuring which political party will win the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing individual political parties. Because resolution depends on ranking the parties to find the single party that occupies the highest finishing position, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves Yes if its specified party wins the most seats in the Congress of Deputies, and No otherwise. Parties are ranked primarily by seats won, with specific attribution rules for coalitions and regional designations (e.g., PSC counts for PSOE). Ties are broken first by total nationwide valid votes and second by alphabetical order. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, with the Spanish Ministry of the Interior used in case of ambiguity. If results are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the event resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Scheduled election date:
- Definitive result deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Spanish Ministry of the Interior
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 85% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| PSOE | 15% | ▼ 2 | Low | High |